Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003881 0.004081 0.004286 0.004511 0.004754 0.005007 0.005291
2025-07-13 0.003536 0.003833 0.004150 0.004515 0.004926 0.005375 0.005907
2025-07-20 0.003363 0.003721 0.004115 0.004583 0.005128 0.005745 0.006504
2025-07-27 0.003168 0.003560 0.004002 0.004539 0.005181 0.005929 0.006878
2025-08-03 0.003014 0.003433 0.003913 0.004508 0.005236 0.006106 0.007239
2025-08-10 0.002881 0.003319 0.003829 0.004473 0.005275 0.006257 0.007569
2025-08-17 0.002822 0.003288 0.003838 0.004547 0.005448 0.006576 0.008124
2025-08-24 0.002725 0.003205 0.003779 0.004530 0.005502 0.006741 0.008482
2025-08-31 0.002632 0.003120 0.003714 0.004499 0.005532 0.006873 0.008799
2025-09-07 0.002533 0.003026 0.003631 0.004441 0.005521 0.006946 0.009034
2025-09-14 0.002442 0.002936 0.003549 0.004379 0.005500 0.007003 0.009245
2025-09-21 0.002386 0.002890 0.003520 0.004385 0.005569 0.007183 0.009639
2025-09-28 0.002273 0.002767 0.003389 0.004250 0.005441 0.007084 0.009623
2025-10-05 0.002223 0.002724 0.003362 0.004254 0.005505 0.007259 0.010023
2025-10-12 0.002200 0.002716 0.003378 0.004316 0.005653 0.007560 0.010633
2025-10-19 0.002139 0.002654 0.003322 0.004276 0.005651 0.007639 0.010899
2025-10-26 0.002086 0.002602 0.003276 0.004248 0.005663 0.007739 0.011203
2025-11-02 0.002034 0.002550 0.003228 0.004215 0.005667 0.007825 0.011487
2025-11-09 0.002021 0.002550 0.003251 0.004283 0.005824 0.008151 0.012190
2025-11-16 0.001980 0.002509 0.003217 0.004268 0.005852 0.008278 0.012561
2025-11-23 0.001936 0.002465 0.003176 0.004239 0.005859 0.008369 0.012875
2025-11-30 0.001886 0.002410 0.003118 0.004185 0.005824 0.008391 0.013064
2025-12-07 0.001837 0.002355 0.003060 0.004128 0.005782 0.008398 0.013228